Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.002338 0.002474 0.002618 0.002784 0.002971 0.003175 0.003419
2025-03-23 0.002158 0.002348 0.002561 0.002822 0.003137 0.003511 0.004001
2025-03-30 0.001997 0.002214 0.002468 0.002792 0.003205 0.003730 0.004477
2025-04-06 0.001853 0.002082 0.002355 0.002716 0.003196 0.003838 0.004819
2025-04-13 0.001756 0.001994 0.002286 0.002682 0.003228 0.003996 0.005258
2025-04-20 0.001628 0.001860 0.002146 0.002541 0.003096 0.003898 0.005271
2025-04-27 0.001574 0.001813 0.002114 0.002539 0.003154 0.004083 0.005790
2025-05-04 0.001552 0.001805 0.002130 0.002601 0.003310 0.004442 0.006728
2025-05-11 0.001509 0.001767 0.002103 0.002599 0.003367 0.004647 0.007442
2025-05-18 0.001497 0.001768 0.002129 0.002674 0.003551 0.005105 0.008938
2025-05-25 0.001456 0.001728 0.002094 0.002656 0.003581 0.005283 0.009841
2025-06-01 0.001406 0.001674 0.002036 0.002598 0.003536 0.005305 0.010318
2025-06-08 0.001387 0.001664 0.002043 0.002645 0.003687 0.005780 0.012714
2025-06-15 0.001366 0.001648 0.002042 0.002680 0.003821 0.006264 0.015947
2025-06-22 0.001328 0.001610 0.002005 0.002653 0.003837 0.006479 0.018440
2025-06-29 0.001283 0.001557 0.001945 0.002584 0.003766 0.006458 0.019611
2025-07-06 0.001250 0.001522 0.001909 0.002553 0.003765 0.006623 0.022607
2025-07-13 0.001193 0.001451 0.001817 0.002424 0.003557 0.006192 0.020108
2025-07-20 0.001173 0.001431 0.001801 0.002421 0.003605 0.006479 0.024677
2025-07-27 0.001168 0.001434 0.001819 0.002478 0.003781 0.007197 0.039863
2025-08-03 0.001149 0.001416 0.001804 0.002477 0.003834 0.007563 0.058141
2025-08-10 0.001148 0.001422 0.001828 0.002545 0.004049 0.008590 0.262113
2025-08-17 0.001127 0.001400 0.001805 0.002529 0.004070 0.008916 NaN